The Philippines may attain herd immunity only in 2023 (or two years from now) owing to its slow-paced Covid19 vaccination program, a UK-based think tank has reportedly surmised.
According to a report on “vaccination rates in emerging Asia” posted in its website, Pantheon Macroeconomics was quoted as saying the Philippines would be among the last countries in the region to reach herd immunity, including the more contagious Covid19 Delta variant.
“The relatively slow pace of vaccination in the Philippines implies that early 2023 probably is the best that the archipelago can hope for.”
(As of June 21, 2021, the Philippines, which has a 110-million population, has only around 2.09 fully vaccinated individuals and some 8 million who have received their first doses. And it is targeting 70 million citizens by the yearend so they may have a “better Christmas.”).
Pantheon, headquartered in Newcastle-upon-Tyne in England, was more optimistic about Thailand, which it said would achieve herd immunity by the second quarter of 2022, and Indonesia, as early as the third quarter.
Pantheon added that India, which is the site of many big pharmaceutical companies engaged in vaccine manufacturing, could achieve immunity from the deadly and highly-transmissible Delta variant as early as the third quarter of this year (2021).